hmp on political stock market

Registered since:
20.09.2005

Current posts from hmp

Market ranking - current rank

Market Position Participants
Nationalratswahlen Österreich 2017 (interner Markt) 8 41
Gemeinderatswahl Graz 2017 38 52
US presidential election, 2016 7 77
Bundespräsidentenwahl Österreich 2016 50 154
Kommunalwahl Bayern 2014 29 49
Nationalratswahl Österreich 2013 163 327
Bundestagswahl Deutschland 2013 (privater Markt) 12 30
Präsidentschaftswahl in der Tschech. Republik 2013 6 23
Tyrolia federal election, 2013 63 72
Salzburg federal election, 2013 9 66
Niederösterreich federal election, 2013 27 88
Gemeinderatswahlen Graz 2012 (kleine Parteien) 14 95
Graz local election, 2013 67 144

Market ranking - total

Market Position Participants
Hungary 2 79
USA - House 2 89
Schweiz - SVP 2 96
Österreich - Wien (intern) 2 43
Denmark 3 67
Finland 3 53
weitere Märkte AT 3 238
LIF 4 234
Deutschland 4 57
Nederland 4 39
Germany 5 180
Sweden 5 68
Lithuania 5 57
Präsidentschaftswahl in der Tschech. Republik 2013 6 23
France 6 71
Bavaria 6 132
US presidential election, 2016 7 77
SPD-Vorsitzender 7 124
Stärkste Partei 7 198
Graz 7 99
Nationalratswahlen Österreich 2017 (interner Markt) 8 41
Österreich - Koalitionen 8 113
Österreich (intern) 8 63
Europameister 8 122
Eurofighter 8 47
Salzburg federal election, 2013 9 66
van Staa 9 122
USA - Senate 9 48
Bremen 9 62
BZÖ 9 59
France 9 31
Italy 10 74
United Kingdom 10 79
SPD-Vorsitzender 10 62
EM-Spielemarkt 11 81
Gruppe A 11 87
Bundestagswahl Deutschland 2013 (privater Markt) 12 30
St. Pölten 12 107
Czech Republic 13 65
Hesse 13 319
Gemeinderatswahlen Graz 2012 (kleine Parteien) 14 95
Austria 14 725
Greece - Vicky Leandros 14 42
Ireland 15 66
South Tyrol 15 85
Iceland 16 92
Bavaria 16 169
KPÖ - BZÖ 16 129
Ukraine 16 59
Latvia 16 46
Große Koalition 17 163
Bayern - Ministerpräsident 17 68
Latvia 18 70
BZÖ 18 102
USA - President 19 221
France - Mandate 19 57
Austria 4 20 129
Österreich - Wahlkarten 21 67
USA - Gubernatorial 22 38
Republican Candidate 23 166
Lower Saxony 23 154
Austria 6 23 46
Opel 24 123
USA - Senate 2008 24 97
Tirol - Koalition 24 66
Palestine 24 30
Austria 5 24 150
Niederösterreich federal election, 2013 27 88
Stoiber (CSU) 27 36
France 28 55
Kommunalwahl Bayern 2014 29 49
Wolfgang Clement 31 88
Klubanzahl 33 142
Türkei 34 41
Europameister 1 35 72
Portugal 36 53
Gemeinderatswahl Graz 2017 38 52
Republican Primaries 38 80
Berlin 2 38 47
ÖVP 39 171
Sweden 39 55
Slovenia 40 50
Bavaria 42 51
SPD-Kanzlerkandidat 43 156
Hesse - coalitions 43 257
Bundeskanzler 44 220
Burgenland 44 53
SPÖ-Regierung 45 63
Greece 46 56
Schüssel 49 66
Austria 2006 49 1,700
Bundespräsidentenwahl Österreich 2016 50 154
Bayern-Koalitionen 50 73
GRÜNE 50 194
Poland 52 55
Lower Saxony - coalitions 54 101
USA 54 54
Mecklenburg-Vorp. 54 77
France 2007 60 74
Poland 61 66
Greece 62 77
Tyrolia federal election, 2013 63 72
Gruppe B 63 92
Slovenia 64 66
European Parliament 68 85
Gruppe D 68 76
German soccer champion 2009 69 108
Neue Regierung AT 71 93
Österreich - Kärnten 73 132
Graz local election, 2013 67 144
Gruppe C 77 80
Österreich - Tirol 79 124
Austria 80 144
Bayern 81 93
Federal Convention Germany 82 101
Fußball: 1. Bundesliga D 83 143
Neue Regierung 83 96
BZÖ 84 168
Federal President Germany 93 251
Niederösterreich 93 106
FPÖ 94 171
Wahlbeteiligung 94 141
Drittstärkste Kraft 94 129
Österreich - Neuwahlen 103 132
Dtl. - Drittstärkste Partei 107 124
Democratic Primaries 112 132
Austria 2 126 661
Upper Austria 128 151
Saarland 136 163
SPÖ 139 155
Dinkhauser 156 220
Ministermärkte 158 204
Germany 166 226
Hamburg 173 179
Germany 176 559
Nationalratswahl Österreich 2013 163 327
Dtl. - Koalition 203 252
Democratic Candidate 252 310
Tirol 286 397
USA Elections 2008 291 294
Österreich - SPÖ 329 505
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What we predict...

Wahlfieber, originally a platform from the German-speaking world, offers (user-based) forecasts on elections worldwide - using political prediction markets without applying any algorythm.

Our focus

Germany / Austria / Switzerland
All national and state elections as well as selected local, mayoral and party elections

Europe
Almost all national elections as well as selected presidential, regional and local elections and votes.

USA
All presidential, senatorial and house elections (including mid-term and most presidential primaries/caucusses) as well as important special and state elections.

UK
All national and state elections as well as important special, local and mayoral elections and votes.

Worldwide
National elections - including Australia, Canada, Israel, Japan, New Zealand, etc.


Important elections in 2025

  • Several state elections in Germany, Austria, Switzerland and Liechtenstein
  • Presidential elections in Romania, Poland, Ireland, Portugal
  • National elections in Germany, Czech Republic, Netherlands, Norway - Argentina, Australia, Canada

How does this work?

This is how you contribute to the prediction - See the Infocenter

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