in Switzerland:

What will be the party strength (in percent) of the four biggest parties and all other smaller parties together in the Swiss House of Representatives election 2015?

Participants: 364
Market opening: 15.07.2015 17:00
Market close: 18.10.2015 03:11
Top trader: last-exit

Swiss House of Representatives election 2015 – big parties

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House of Representatives election 2015 – big parties

Question of the market:
What will be the party strength (in percent) of the four biggest parties and all other smaller parties together in the Swiss House of Representatives election 2015?

Shares:
The shares below can be traded:

Market opening:
15.07.2015 17:00

Market close:
18.10.2015 03:11

Market value:
0.00

Trading range:
0.01 - 50.00

Initial seed capital:

Payout rules
Every share held by a trader in his/her portfolio at the end of the exchange will be paid out according to the actual result of this share after the election.

Explications to the market question
For trading on the election stock market the value «party strength» has been defined as the expected value for the party stocks. The Federal Office of Statistics defines party strength as the «contingent of votes a party gained, in relation to the sum of all valid votes».

The party strength all over Switzerland in percent defined the issuing price of the five party stocks at the launch of the election stock market.

The five party stocks base on the big parties Swiss People's Party (SPP), Social Democratic Party (SDP), Radical Party (FDP.The Liberals) (FDP) plus the Christian Democratic Party (CDP)

The remaining parties with party strengths smaller than 10 percent are summarized as a single party stock «Others». On the one hand it supports the visibility and the overview of the market and the according charts. On the other hand the market focuses on the strongest parties and arbitrage trades with smallest party stocks can be avoided to achieve a more precise quality of the election stock market.

Definition of the stock «Others»
The stock «Others» includes all parties in the market «House of Representatives – Party strength» that are not listed with an own, named stock. These include the parties represented in the House of Representatives:
- Green Party of Switzerland (Greens)
- Conservative Democratic Party (CDP)
- Liberal Green Party (LGP)
- Protestant Party (EPP)
- Mouvement Citoyens Genevois (MCG)
- Ticino League (Lega dei Ticinesi)
- Christian Social Party (CSP)
as well al all further small parties and independents, running for the federal elections 2015.

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