jbberlin on political stock market

Registered since:
03.02.2008

Market ranking - current rank

Market Position Participants
Bundestagswahl 2013 in Schl.-Holst. 39 52
Landtagswahl Hessen 2013 (kleine Parteien) 40 72
Landtagswahl Hessen 2013 56 63
Landtagswahl Bayern 2013 22 89
German federal election, 2013 (all other parties) 117 122
Bundestagswahl Deutschland 2013 (privater Markt) 13 30
Bundestagswahl Deutschland 2013 (kleine Parteien) 43 112
Bundestagswahl Deutschland 2013 17 206
Lübeck local election, 2013 (small parties) 6 41
Lübeck local election, 2013 8 70
Kommunalwahl Neumünster 2013 49 74
Schleswig-Holstein local elections, 2013 100 110
Rendsburg-Eckernförde local election, 2013 42 91
Plön local election, 2013 8 85
Kiel local election, 2013 1 140
Chemnitz mayoral election 2013 12 39
Salzburg federal election, 2013 42 66
Niedersachsen federal election, 2013 (small parties) 34 35
Koalitionsmarkt Niedersachsen 2013 34 41
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Kiel 2012 (2. Wahlgang) 23 48
Karlsruhe mayoral election 2012 168 179
Leipzig mayoral election, 2013 47 48
Niedersachsen federal election, 2013 15 127
Grüne Urabstimmung zur Spitzenkandidatur 2013 52 59
Volksbefragung in Österreich 2013 24 86
Parteivorsitzende der Grünen 1 34
US Presidential election, 2012 (electoral votes - swing states) 6 37
US Presidential election, 2012 - 538 market 45 47
Gemeinderatswahl Burgenland 2012 40 42
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Kiel 2012 6 439
Dutch parliamentary election 2012 31 33
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Stuttgart 2012 52 58
1. Bundesliga Deutschland 2012/2013 66 67
Kantonsratswahlen 2012 - Kanton Schaffhausen 1 31
Exits from the Euro-zone 87 116
Fussball Europa-Meister 2012 (WTIA-Markt) 50 54
Euro 2012 - Gruppe D 53 55
Euro 2012 - Gruppe C 2 52
Euro 2012 - Gruppe B 42 57
Euro 2012 - Gruppe A 33 51
Greek parliamentary election 2012 52 54
Landtagswahl in NRW 2012 - Einzug FDP / Linke 17 40
Landtagswahlen Schleswig-Holstein 2012 - Koalitionsmarkt 34 107
North Rhine-Westphalia federal election 2012 126 133
North Rhine-Westphalia federal election 2012 (small parties) 88 108
Landtagswahlen Schleswig-Holstein 2012 - Einzug FDP / Linke / Piraten 1 155
Parlamentswahlen Frankreich 2012 42 49
French presidential election 2012 65 71
Deutscher Meister 2012 3 50
Schleswig-Holstein federal election 2012 1 468
Landtagswahlen Saarland 2012 65 89
Fussball Europa-Meisterschaft 2012 113 117
House of Representatives 2011 - Canton Graubünden 152 211
Abgeordnetenhauswahl Berlin 2011 - Koalitionen 17 52
Parliamentary election Poland 2011 24 27
Regional election Niedersachsen 2011 38 39
House of Representatives election 2011 – smallest parties 169 293
Federal election Berlin 2011 76 96
Federal election Mecklenburg-Vorpommern 2011 34 80
House of Representatives election 2011 – small parties 382 609
Bürgerschaftswahl Bremerhaven 2011 59 60
Bürgerschaftswahl Bremen 116 119
Kommunalwahlen Hessen 2011 13 50
Abtritt Westerwelle 75 83
Landtagswahl Rheinland-Pfalz 2011 4 121
Landtagswahl Sachsen-Anhalt 2011 8 118
Landtagswahl Baden-Württemberg 2011 16 189

Market ranking - total

Market Position Participants
Kiel local election, 2013 1 140
Parteivorsitzende der Grünen 1 34
Kantonsratswahlen 2012 - Kanton Schaffhausen 1 31
Schleswig-Holstein federal election 2012 1 468
Landtagswahlen Schleswig-Holstein 2012 - Einzug FDP / Linke / Piraten 1 155
Euro 2012 - Gruppe C 2 52
Deutscher Meister 2012 3 50
Landtagswahl Rheinland-Pfalz 2011 4 121
Lübeck local election, 2013 (small parties) 6 41
US Presidential election, 2012 (electoral votes - swing states) 6 37
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Kiel 2012 6 439
Hessen - Wahlbeteiligung 6 84
German soccer champion 2009 7 108
Plön local election, 2013 8 85
Lübeck local election, 2013 8 70
Landtagswahl Sachsen-Anhalt 2011 8 118
Ypsilanti 8 74
Saarland - MP 9 100
Hamburg 9 866
Schl.-Holst. - MP 10 88
Hessen - Neuwahlen 10 129
Chemnitz mayoral election 2013 12 39
Bayern-Koalitionen 12 73
Bundestagswahl Deutschland 2013 (privater Markt) 13 30
Kommunalwahlen Hessen 2011 13 50
Germany 13 180
Niedersachsen federal election, 2013 15 127
Landtagswahl Baden-Württemberg 2011 16 189
Bundestagswahl Deutschland 2013 17 206
Landtagswahl in NRW 2012 - Einzug FDP / Linke 17 40
Abgeordnetenhauswahl Berlin 2011 - Koalitionen 17 52
Landtagswahl Bayern 2013 22 89
Bayern - Ministerpräsident 22 68
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Kiel 2012 (2. Wahlgang) 23 48
Schleswig-Holstein 23 103
Volksbefragung in Österreich 2013 24 86
Parliamentary election Poland 2011 24 27
Hesse 26 245
Bavaria 26 169
Dutch parliamentary election 2012 31 33
Federal President Germany 32 251
Euro 2012 - Gruppe A 33 51
Koalitionsmarkt Niedersachsen 2013 34 41
Niedersachsen federal election, 2013 (small parties) 34 35
Landtagswahlen Schleswig-Holstein 2012 - Koalitionsmarkt 34 107
Federal election Mecklenburg-Vorpommern 2011 34 80
Hessen - Koalition 35 121
Regional election Niedersachsen 2011 38 39
Saarland 38 163
Bundestagswahl 2013 in Schl.-Holst. 39 52
Landtagswahl Hessen 2013 (kleine Parteien) 40 72
Gemeinderatswahl Burgenland 2012 40 42
Rendsburg-Eckernförde local election, 2013 42 91
Salzburg federal election, 2013 42 66
Euro 2012 - Gruppe B 42 57
Parlamentswahlen Frankreich 2012 42 49
Bundestagswahl Deutschland 2013 (kleine Parteien) 43 112
US Presidential election, 2012 - 538 market 45 47
Leipzig mayoral election, 2013 47 48
Kommunalwahl Neumünster 2013 49 74
Fussball Europa-Meister 2012 (WTIA-Markt) 50 54
Grüne Urabstimmung zur Spitzenkandidatur 2013 52 59
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Stuttgart 2012 52 58
Greek parliamentary election 2012 52 54
Dtl. - Koalition 52 252
Euro 2012 - Gruppe D 53 55
Landtagswahl Hessen 2013 56 63
Bürgerschaftswahl Bremerhaven 2011 59 60
North Rhine-Westphalia 61 104
French presidential election 2012 65 71
Landtagswahlen Saarland 2012 65 89
Hamburg - coalitions 65 121
1. Bundesliga Deutschland 2012/2013 66 67
Abtritt Westerwelle 75 83
Federal election Berlin 2011 76 96
Thuringia 76 146
Dtl. - Bundeskanzler 86 213
Brandenburg 86 176
Exits from the Euro-zone 87 116
North Rhine-Westphalia federal election 2012 (small parties) 88 108
Referendum Berlin 96 109
Israel 98 100
Schleswig-Holstein local elections, 2013 100 110
Hessen - Drittstärkste Partei 100 134
Saxony 110 146
SPD-Vorsitzender 111 124
Fussball Europa-Meisterschaft 2012 113 117
Saarland - Koalition 113 121
Bürgerschaftswahl Bremen 116 119
German federal election, 2013 (all other parties) 117 122
Schleswig-Holstein 121 214
North Rhine-Westphalia federal election 2012 126 133
Hessen - Die Linke 130 130
House of Representatives 2011 - Canton Graubünden 152 211
Karlsruhe mayoral election 2012 168 179
House of Representatives election 2011 – smallest parties 169 293
USA - President 188 221
Hesse - coalitions 193 257
Democratic Candidate 301 310
House of Representatives election 2011 – small parties 382 609
Germany 470 559
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What we predict...

Wahlfieber, originally a platform from the German-speaking world, offers (user-based) forecasts on elections worldwide - using political prediction markets without applying any algorythm.

Our focus

Germany / Austria / Switzerland
All national and state elections as well as selected local, mayoral and party elections

Europe
Almost all national elections as well as selected presidential, regional and local elections and votes.

USA
All presidential, senatorial and house elections (including mid-term and most presidential primaries/caucusses) as well as important special and state elections.

UK
All national and state elections as well as important special, local and mayoral elections and votes.

Worldwide
National elections - including Australia, Canada, Israel, Japan, New Zealand, etc.


Important elections in 2023

  • Several state elections in Germany and Austria
  • Presidential election in the Czech Republic
  • National elections in Finland, Turkey, Greece, Poland, Switzerland and Spain

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